Detritus

Dec 01

King Joe Redux -

[I once posted this at a certain other execrable blog. The time seemed right to revisit this theme.]

joe shrekey

Imagine you are a husky fellow of simple tastes and modest abilities. Imagine that,…

Nov 30

Political fans - note #6

[Fiorina outlines two “puzzles” of political science: why people vote and why they seek political information]

The simple fact is that in a mass election, no rational citizen should be informed. From the standpoint of the economic conception of means-ends rationality, informed citizens are an anomaly that requires explanation…

If current models do not suggest any positive relationship between information and individual rationality in elections, then for the time being we should take voters as they are and attempt to trace the consequences of their behaviour, however “rational” or not it might seem to be…

If one’s vote has no discernible impact on the outcome of an election, why should one bear any cost in order to cast an informed vote? The answer is clear — one shouldn’t… A little thought suggests that there are plenty of reasons for people to procure information; it is just that none of those reasons has anything to do with enhancing people’s prospects of gain from casting an informed vote in a mass election…

[Under a number of headings, Fiorina offers explanations for the “non-rational” behaviour of seeking information. These include “the duty to be informed”, “accidental and incidental exposure”, forms of “by-product” learning, “information as a collectors’ item”, and “information as social definition”, where political information is accumulated as a form of cultural capital. He also suggests the idea of “Informed Citizens as Fans”]


Voting has been likened to a spectator sport. Millions of citizens buy tickets, cable connections and satellite dishes so that they may cheer on their favored teams. Do they believe their investment will increase the possibility of a favorable outcome for their team? Of course not. Nevertheless, they continur to engage in fan behaviour, often with great enthusiasm, and rational choice theorists do not regard this behavior as irrational, or even curious. Why, then, should we regard the analogous behaviour in politics — vote — as an anomaly?

The same argument extends quite rationally to the realm of information. Fans often become quite knowledgeable about their teams… If human beings choose to gather great stores of information about competitions and contests of all manner, why should it come as any surprise when some people are well informed about politics? Is rooting on the Republicans inherently more puzzling or interesting than rooting on the Lakers? Notice that the spectator sport explanation does not suggest that the well-informed are either more or less rational than the uninformed. Some people are serious fans, some are not.

This line of argument does have some implications for the types of knowledge people will have. Knowledge of the state of the contest probably would be most widespread. Next would come familiarity with the particular tactics adopted by the contestants… Last would come details about the operation of the league — it’s organisational structure, its business operations, and so forth. In addition, we might expect people would have higher levels of information about close contests than blow-outs. Evidently, patterns of political information among real voters bear some resemblance to these speculations. (pp. 334-338)

Fiorina, M. (1990). Information and rationality in elections. In J. A. Ferejohn & J. H. Kuklinski (Eds.), Information and democratic processes (pp. 329–342). Urbana, IL: University of Illinois Press.

Political fans - note #6

[Fiorina outlines two “puzzles” of political science: why people vote and why they seek political information]

The simple fact is that in a mass election, no rational citizen should be informed. From the standpoint of the economic conception of means-ends rationality, informed citizens are an anomaly that requires explanation…

If current models do not suggest any positive relationship between information and individual rationality in elections, then for the time being we should take voters as they are and attempt to trace the consequences of their behaviour, however “rational” or not it might seem to be…

If one’s vote has no discernible impact on the outcome of an election, why should one bear any cost in order to cast an informed vote? The answer is clear — one shouldn’t… A little thought suggests that there are plenty of reasons for people to procure information; it is just that none of those reasons has anything to do with enhancing people’s prospects of gain from casting an informed vote in a mass election…

[Under a number of headings, Fiorina offers explanations for the “non-rational” behaviour of seeking information. These include “the duty to be informed”, “accidental and incidental exposure”, forms of “by-product” learning, “information as a collectors’ item”, and “information as social definition”, where political information is accumulated as a form of cultural capital. He also suggests the idea of “Informed Citizens as Fans”]


Voting has been likened to a spectator sport. Millions of citizens buy tickets, cable connections and satellite dishes so that they may cheer on their favored teams. Do they believe their investment will increase the possibility of a favorable outcome for their team? Of course not. Nevertheless, they continur to engage in fan behaviour, often with great enthusiasm, and rational choice theorists do not regard this behavior as irrational, or even curious. Why, then, should we regard the analogous behaviour in politics — vote — as an anomaly?

The same argument extends quite rationally to the realm of information. Fans often become quite knowledgeable about their teams… If human beings choose to gather great stores of information about competitions and contests of all manner, why should it come as any surprise when some people are well informed about politics? Is rooting on the Republicans inherently more puzzling or interesting than rooting on the Lakers? Notice that the spectator sport explanation does not suggest that the well-informed are either more or less rational than the uninformed. Some people are serious fans, some are not.

This line of argument does have some implications for the types of knowledge people will have. Knowledge of the state of the contest probably would be most widespread. Next would come familiarity with the particular tactics adopted by the contestants… Last would come details about the operation of the league — it’s organisational structure, its business operations, and so forth. In addition, we might expect people would have higher levels of information about close contests than blow-outs. Evidently, patterns of political information among real voters bear some resemblance to these speculations. (pp. 334-338)

Fiorina, M. (1990). Information and rationality in elections. In J. A. Ferejohn & J. H. Kuklinski (Eds.), Information and democratic processes (pp. 329–342). Urbana, IL: University of Illinois Press.

Nov 24

Typology - references

Devlin, L. Patrick. “An Analysis of Presidential Television Commercials.” New Perspectives on Political Advertising. Ed. Lynda Lee Kaid, Dan Nimmo, and Keith R. Sanders. Carbondale: Southern Illinois University Press, 1986. 21-54.

Jamieson, Kathleen Hall. “The Evolution of Political Advertising in America.” New Perspectives on Political Advertising. Ed. Lynda Lee Kaid, Dan Nimmo, and Keith R. Sanders. Carbondale: Southern Illinois University Press, 1986. 1-20.

Jamieson's (1986) addition to Devlin's typology - the "neutral reporter" format.

This format involves apparently factual statements about a candidate, upon which the viewer is then asked to make a judgement.

Devlin's (1986) typology of political ads (e) 'personal witness'

This format enlists non-candidates for the purposes of endorsement.

“Man in the street”

“Testimonal”

Devlin's (1986) typology of political ads - (d) Negative ads

Like it says on the can…

Devlin's (1986) typology of political ads (c) Concept ads

Ads intended to convey the “big ideas” about a candidate, and overarching messages.

Devlin's typology of political ads - (b) Talking heads

Designed to focus on an issue, convey an image that the leader can handle the issues and the job.

Devlin's typology of political ads - (a) Primitive

Even at the time, the stagy, rehearsed quality of early ads was fairly clear to viewers.

Nov 19

Political fans - note #5

The growth of new media is increasing inequality in political knowledge. Starting in the 1970s, cable television slowly offered television viewers more programming choices. Some viewers - people who prefer entertainment to news programming - began to abandon the nightly newscasts in favour of more entertaining programs. In the low-choice media environment before cable TV, they encountered politics at least occasionally, because they liked watching television - even television news - more than most other leisure activities. With access to numerous entertainment-oriented cable channels and Internet websites, entertainment fans learn less about politics than they used to and vote less often.

The transition from the low-choice environment to the high-choice world of cable and the Internet has had the oppposite effect on people who prefer news to entertainment. These news junkies take advantage of the greater number of information sources to become more knowledgable and more likely to vote than in the past. In short, cable TV and the Internet confer greater importance to individual motivations in seeking political information out of the mass of other content. The current high-choice environment concentrates political knowledge among those who like the news.

Markus Prior. “News Junkies as Monitorial Citizens? Conditions for Political Accountability in a High-Choice Media Environment.” Paper for the Conference on Changing Media and Political Accountability, Princeton, 2007.

Political fans - note #4

This group [“newshounds”] made up 50.5% of the population. Their mean consumption was above average on all forms of media (positive means). The within-cluster standard deviations were large for all media indicating that not all Newshounds consume the same news media. For example, some watched more cable TV news than others. The distribution of Internet news consumption was right skewed with 81.5% of the population not consuming any Internet news at the time of this study; those who use the Internet are Newshounds, but the majority of Newshounds did not use the Internet.


In addition to their patterns of news consumption, the two groups also differ demographically and in terms of their participatory activities. Newshounds tend to be older, have more education, and greater income than Avoiders. More than half (63%) of Newshounds are above the age of 45, compared to only 28% of Avoiders. Newshounds(39%) are also more than twice as likely as Avoiders (17%) to have a college degree. Only 15% of Avoiders have annual incomes above $50,000, compared to 35% of Newshounds. While over half of the Newshounds belong to at least one civic organization, the same can only be said for one-third of Avoiders. Finally, 82% of the Newshounds are registered voters, compared to only 56% of Avoiders. Whereas Prior (2007a) found age to be the primary difference between news junkies and switchers, we find that those who consume news and those who avoid it are also substantively different in a number of other ways.

Ksiazek, T. B., Malthouse, E.C., & Webster, J.G. (In Press). “Newshounds and Avoiders: Exploring Patterns of Total News Consumption Across Media and the Relationship to Civic Participation.” Journal of Broadcasting and Electronic Media, forthcoming.

Nov 18

Political fans - note #3

“Citizens with a strong interest in politics often function like “political fans” cheering on their side rather than as rational assessors of information (Somin, “Knowledge about Ignorance,” 260–61). They evaluate data in a highly biased manner that tends to confirm rather than objectively test their preexisting views. The “fans’” mode of processing information is perfectly rational for purposes of psychic gratification even though it disserves the objective of improving the quality of their votes. The latter goal, however, is one that they have very little incentive to pursue.”

Ilya Somin. “Democracy and Political Knowledge in Ancient Athens.” Ethics, Vol. 119, No. 3, pp. 585-590, April 2009

Political Fans - Note #2

“This conjecture is strengthened by a recent study showing that the most knowledgeable voters tend to be more biased in their evaluation of new evidence than those with less prior political information (Taber and Lodge 2006)  If those who acquire political knowledge do so inorder to cast “better” votes,such a result would be difficult to explain. But if, as the rational ignorance hypothesis implies, the main goal is to enjoy psychic benefits similar to those available to sports fans, the greater bias of the more politically knowledgeable is perfectly rational. The fact that they acquired more knowledge in the past suggests that they value the “fan”experience more than those who acquired less; thus, it is not at all surprising that they tend to be more close-minded in their evaluation of new information, because acknowledging that the other side may have a good argument would diminish their psychic gratification.”

Ilya Somin. “Knowledge about Ignorance: New Directions in the Study of Political Information.” Critical Review, Vol. 18, Nos. 1-3, pp. 255-278, 2006

Political Fans - Note #1

“Political campaigns take on a carnival and sporting atmosphere. This transformation is often decried, but it performs a valuable social function: it increases the return to having political knowledge. Just as sports fans revel in statistics and arguments about performance, political fans do the same with campaign promises, campaign expenditure levels, and past performances. The quadrennial media circus surrounding American presidential campaigns is dramatic evidence of the demand by the average citizen for political information.”

Don L. Coursey and Russell D. Roberts. ” Competition in political and economic markets.” Public Choice. Volume 70, Number 1. April, 1991: 83-88.